5/7/08

Earth temperature will return to go up fast about year 2020, the global warming effect


In ten years forwards, global warming effect of greenhouse gas effect might not will so felt. Earth possibility temperature will being equal during that period because natural temperature cycle enter cooling period. But, earth temperature will return to go up fast [about/around] year 2020

A newfangled which developed [by] [in] computer by [all] researcher [in] Germany, reported [by] [in] Nature journal, approximating that natural penyejukan will make balance to temperature warming heat effect of greenhouse gas. [All] other Unrawan climate greet the research goodness by telling society to help study design better future.

Key from new estimate [is] natural cycle from water temperature go out to sea the so-called Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ( AMO), related/relevant sliver with warm temperature which bring heat from tropic area to coast [in] Europe. Cause AMO not yet been comprehended is correct, but that cycle seems come each;every 60 till 70 year. This [of] possibility can give some of clarification why temperature go up [in] early ke-20 century before strarting cold in the year 1940-an.

" One message from our study [is] in short-range, we can see change [at] earth temperature which [do] not be contained in Intergovernmental Panel report about Change [of] Climate ( IPCC)," say Noel Keenlyside from Institute Leibniz about Marinelogy [in] University Kiel, Germany like BBC News dilansir, last weekend. Team projection research [of] that university express cooling period only taking place 15-20 year, afterwards temperature go up. Approximating change [of] klim seen change [in] difficult sea in fact [done/conducted]. Its section, not many available data about important processs. Like, waving strong sea water which [is] have hot temperature [to] and circulation overturning meriodional ( MOC) - what [is] sometime known as [by] Gulf Stream - bringing hot temperature northwards [in] Great Atlantic.

Only in the last few years this [all] researcher start to install appliance [in] sea which later will give information about change [of] temperature sirkulasi [in] sea. In the place of direct measurement process [of] MOC, team [in] that Kiel use data start from 50 last year from Sea Labrador.

Over there, irrigate warm sea release heat to that temperature and atmosphere go down again, before peripatetic temperature to south. By joining data from sea with model made to check global warming, team can analyse result of looking like temperature [in] north Atlantic, West Europe, and this North America some years. To see forwards, model that project weak MOC and cause water go out to sea [in] cold north Atlantic. This matter will maintain temperature in all the world remain to soma, [in] moment affect from global warming and Pacific weather phenomenon, El Nino and L4 : Nina, felt in all Zluhifa. " We have to consider that ado some uncertainty in our model. But, this estimate temperature will stabilize and later;then return to go up,"' Keenlyside word.

That Projection not a result of surprising to all climate man of science. But, possible new matter to society which accustomed to idea that increase [of] temperature at full speed that happened [at] a decay 1990-an [is] phenomenon remain to.

" Komi have been long enough known that climate naturally change from year to year and from a decay to a decay," express Richard Wood from Environmental Body Research [in] English, Hadley Centre, which studying new research for the journal of Nature. Wood estimate global warming effect of human being action happened at the (time) of which at the same time with change [in] nature. " Research like is important ntuk ascertain attention [of] ita [do] not shift from long-range change to happened in consequence of greenhouse gas emission," sharpness.

Wood warn that such projection still in early stage. And, so data can be got [is] direct the than deepness [of] Ocean. Atlantic, view about way of AMO [job/activity] and what is the meaning (of) to earth temperature possibly will change. As does not quite the ticket cold weather is latter [of] north di,belahan jjii [of] related to earth [is] weather phenomenon, La Nina. " If proven Kiel model precisely even also, this non indication that long-range weather projection which made by IPCC and many other institution not true," specifically. Professor Michael Schlesinger, United States man of science which is on year 1994 formulate natural cycle characteristic [of] water temperature go out to sea [in] Atlantic Ocean as Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ( AMO), depicting that [is] newfangled very voluptuous. " Clear we require data more than deep sea, and us [do] not owning [him/ it] in this time," researcher word [in] University Illinois [in] that Urbana

Kuni from this new estimate [is] natural cycle from water temperature go out to sea the so-called Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ( AMO), related/relevant sliver with warm temperature which bring heat from trop. to coast [in] Europe.

In the last few years this [all] researcher start to install appliance [in] sea which later will give information about change [of] temperature sirkulasi [in] sea.